Intelligence

Geopolitical Intelligence for a Multinational Energy Company

Client:
Multinational Energy Firm
Sector:
Energy and Resources
Year:
2024
The Challenge:

The client was planning a major infrastructure investment in a politically volatile region, but tensions between local factions threatened to destabilise the project. The client needed timely, accurate intelligence to understand potential risks and safeguard its operations and personnel.

Our Approach:

Marengo deployed its regional experts to provide near-real-time intelligence, combining human intelligence (HUMINT) with open-source intelligence (OSINT). We engaged trusted in-country sources to map key influencers, potential flashpoints, and emerging alliances. Our analysis included predictive risk scenarios and detailed advice on stakeholder engagement.

We also provided the client with a tailored risk mitigation strategy, including recommendations for security protocols, stakeholder communications, and contingency planning.

The Outcome:

The client was able to adjust its strategy and avoided aligning with politically exposed individuals who were later sanctioned. By acting pre-emptively, the client avoided reputational damage and costly delays. Our intelligence also enabled the client to negotiate improved terms with local authorities by demonstrating an in-depth understanding of the political landscape.

The project proceeded without incident, and the client is expanding its operations in the region, citing our intelligence as a "key enabler".